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Analysts Expect iPhone to Top Strong Apple 4th Quarter

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Wall Street analysts expect Apple will announce robust iPhone sales when the iconic device maker reports its financial results for the final three months of 2011 on Tuesday.

According to the estimates submitted by several investment firm analysts, Apple’s iPhone sales during 2011’s seasonally strong fourth quarter are on track to land somewhere between 25.2 million units and 32 million units. Piper Jaffray analysts Gene Munster and Andrew Murphy, for example, are now modeling for Apple to have sold 30.6 million iPhones.

“We are increasingly confident in Dec. quarter iPhone 4 and 4S sales,” Munster and Murphy wrote in a recent investor note. “Our previous estimate of 30 million could prove to be conservative.”

Piper Jaffray’s analysts also noted that their analysis of the latest data from NPD concerning domestic gadget shipments suggests that Apple’s fourth-quarter iPod sales had also exceeded their expectations. “Our model at 15.5 million iPods may prove to be conservative,” Munster and Murphy wrote.


Healthy Mac Growth

Based on the latest domestic PC data from the NPD Group, Piper Jaffray estimates that Apple’s global Mac sales during the fourth quarter reached 4.9 million units — an 18 percent rise from the comparable quarter in 2010.

Still, the revised estimate from Munster and Murphy is down from the investment firm’s prior projection of 25 percent growth, due to softer than expected sales in the U.S. market during last year’s final quarter.

“However, we are increasingly confident in [Apple’s Dec. iPhone sales] and are raising our unit estimate by 600,000 units, fully offsetting the reduced Mac revenue,” Munster and Murphy wrote. “We estimate Mac revenue will represent 16 percent of overall revenue [for Apple] in the Dec. quarter,” they added.

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